Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.465775 0.547697 0.637802 0.743988 0.865414 0.999640 1.158941
2024-10-13 0.335431 0.442193 0.571409 0.738118 0.946170 1.195820 1.516466
2024-10-20 0.250900 0.366089 0.517682 0.729013 1.012750 1.376864 1.875140
2024-10-27 0.194618 0.311094 0.476200 0.722411 1.074240 1.551860 2.240553
2024-11-03 0.160202 0.277811 0.455816 0.737226 1.161303 1.764848 2.673662
2024-11-10 0.132914 0.248692 0.434852 0.745194 1.235663 1.963456 3.101670
2024-11-17 0.110929 0.223072 0.413918 0.748079 1.299640 2.149498 3.524356
2024-11-24 0.095010 0.204373 0.400515 0.759690 1.376219 2.358648 3.996253
2024-12-01 0.080876 0.185818 0.383848 0.762366 1.436626 2.545417 4.445786
2024-12-08 0.065801 0.162004 0.353392 0.735670 1.442726 2.642846 4.757624
2024-12-15 0.059149 0.154300 0.352064 0.761577 1.542469 2.902090 5.351622
2024-12-22 0.052924 0.146162 0.348417 0.782095 1.633608 3.152549 5.947089
2024-12-29 0.049527 0.144181 0.357714 0.830296 1.782952 3.519519 6.774551
2025-01-05 0.042141 0.130783 0.340405 0.822157 1.823964 3.697099 7.285246
2025-01-12 0.035762 0.118366 0.323105 0.811459 1.858314 3.864480 7.788802
2025-01-19 0.030589 0.107858 0.308327 0.803922 1.897537 4.042776 8.322749
2025-01-26 0.027398 0.102226 0.304380 0.820075 1.987097 4.322947 9.062920
2025-02-02 0.024267 0.095938 0.297671 0.828775 2.061255 4.577896 9.770872
2025-02-09 0.021322 0.089413 0.289169 0.831922 2.123253 4.812553 10.453717
2025-02-16 0.019112 0.084730 0.284833 0.844659 2.207554 5.097558 11.251145
2025-02-23 0.016849 0.079183 0.277066 0.847593 2.269515 5.340467 11.979133
2025-03-02 0.013968 0.070347 0.257986 0.818282 2.253104 5.417885 12.378942
2025-03-09 0.012982 0.068681 0.260321 0.846725 2.376880 5.801267 13.423382